essays and lectures-及7嫗
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!!!!隆堋響頼��紗秘慕禰厮宴和肝写偬堋響��
to it and imposed on it from without�察�or as an organism containing
the law of its own development in itself�察�and working out its
perfection merely by the fact of being what it is。 Now�察�if we
adopt the former�察�which we may style the theological view�察�we shall
be in continual danger of tripping into the pitfall of some A
PRIORI conclusion ´ that bourne from which�察�it has been truly said��
no traveller ever returns。
The latter is the only scientific theory and was apprehended in its
fulness by Aristotle�察�whose application of the inductive method to
history�察�and whose employment of the evolutionary theory of
humanity�察�show that he was conscious that the philosophy of history
is nothing separate from the facts of history but is contained in
them�察�and that the rational law of the complex phenomena of life��
like the ideal in the world of thought�察�is to be reached through
the facts�察�not superimposed on them ´ ��Greek text which cannot be
reproduced�А�
And finally�察�in estimating the enormous debt which the science of
historical criticism owes to Aristotle�察�we must not pass over his
attitude towards those two great difficulties in the formation of a
philosophy of history on which I have touched above。 I mean the
assertion of extra´natural interference with the normal development
of the world and of the incalculable influence exercised by the
power of free will。
Now�察�as regards the former�察�he may be said to have neglected it
entirely。 The special acts of providence proceeding from God's
immediate government of the world�察�which Herodotus saw as mighty
landmarks in history�察�would have been to him essentially disturbing
elements in that universal reign of law�察�the extent of whose
limitless empire he of all the great thinkers of antiquity was the
first explicitly to recognise。
Standing aloof from the popular religion as well as from the deeper
conceptions of Herodotus and the Tragic School�察�he no longer
thought of God as of one with fair limbs and treacherous face
haunting wood and glade�察�nor would he see in him a jealous judge
continually interfering in the world's history to bring the wicked
to punishment and the proud to a fall。 God to him was the
incarnation of the pure Intellect�察�a being whose activity was the
contemplation of his own perfection�察�one whom Philosophy might
imitate but whom prayers could never move�察�to the sublime
indifference of whose passionless wisdom what were the sons of men��
their desires or their sins�拭 �While�察�as regards the other
difficulty and the formation of a philosophy of history�察�the
conflict of free will with general laws appears first in Greek
thought in the usual theological form in which all great ideas seem
to be cradled at their birth。
It was such legends as those of OEdipus and Adrastus�察�exemplifying
the struggles of individual humanity against the overpowering force
of circumstances and necessity�察�which gave to the early Greeks
those same lessons which we of modern days draw�察�in somewhat less
artistic fashion�察�from the study of statistics and the laws of
physiology。
In Aristotle�察�of course�察�there is no trace of supernatural
influence。 The Furies�察�which drive their victim into sin first and
then punishment�察�are no longer 'viper´tressed goddesses with eyes
and mouth aflame��' but those evil thoughts which harbour within the
impure soul。 In this�察�as in all other points�察�to arrive at
Aristotle is to reach the pure atmosphere of scientific and modern
thought。
But while he rejected pure necessitarianism in its crude form as
essentially a REDUCTIO AD ABSURDUM of life�察�he was fully conscious
of the fact that the will is not a mysterious and ultimate unit of
force beyond which we cannot go and whose special characteristic is
inconsistency�察�but a certain creative attitude of the mind which
is�察�from the first�察�continually influenced by habits�察�education and
circumstance�察�so absolutely modifiable�察�in a word�察�that the good
and the bad man alike seem to lose the power of free will�察�for the
one is morally unable to sin�察�the other physically incapacitated
for reformation。
And of the influence of climate and temperature in forming the
nature of man ��a conception perhaps pressed too far in modern days
when the 'race theory' is supposed to be a sufficient explanation
of the Hindoo�察�and the latitude and longitude of a country the best
guide to its morals��6���� Aristotle is completely unaware。 I do not
allude to such smaller points as the oligarchical tendencies of a
horse´breeding country and the democratic influence of the
proximity of the sea ��important though they are for the
consideration of Greek history���察�but rather to those wider views in
the seventh book of his POLITICS�察�where he attributes the happy
union in the Greek character of intellectual attainments with the
spirit of progress to the temperate climate they enjoyed�察�and
points out how the extreme cold of the north dulls the mental
faculties of its inhabitants and renders them incapable of social
organisation or extended empire�察�while to the enervating heat of
eastern countries was due that want of spirit and bravery which
then�察�as now�察�was the characteristic of the population in that
quarter of the globe。
Thucydides has shown the causal connection between political
revolutions and the fertility of the soil�察�but goes a step farther
and points out the psychological influences on a people's character
exercised by the various extremes of climate ´ in both cases the
first appearance of a most valuable form of historical criticism。
To the development of Dialectic�察�as to God�察�intervals of time are
of no account。 From Plato and Aristotle we pass direct to
Polybius。
The progress of thought from the philosopher of the Academe to the
Arcadian historian may be best illustrated by a comparison of the
method by which each of the three writers�察�whom I have selected as
the highest expression of the rationalism of his respective age��
attained to his ideal state�此 �for the latter conception may be in a
measure regarded as representing the most spiritual principle which
they could discern in history。
Now�察�Plato created his on A PRIORI principles�察�Aristotle formed his
by an analysis of existing constitutions�察�Polybius found his
realised for him in the actual world of fact。 Aristotle criticised
the deductive speculations of Plato by means of inductive negative
instances�察�but Polybius will not take the 'Cloud City' of the
REPUBLIC into account at all。 He compares it to an athlete who has
never run on 'Constitution Hill��' to a statue so beautiful that it
is entirely removed from the ordinary conditions of humanity�察�and
consequently from the canons of criticism。
The Roman state had attained in his eyes�察�by means of the mutual
counteraction of three opposing forces�察。�7�� that stable equilibrium
in politics which was the ideal of all the theoretical writers of
antiquity。 And in connection with this point it will be convenient
to notice here how much truth there is contained in the accusation
often brought against the ancients that they knew nothing of the
idea of Progress�察�for the meaning of many of their speculations
will be hidden from us if we do not try and comprehend first what
their aim was�察�and secondly why it was so。
Now�察�like all wide generalities�察�this statement is at least
inaccurate。 The prayer of Plato's ideal City ´ ��Greek text which
cannot be reproduced�В察�might be written as a text over the door of
the last Temple to Humanity raised by the disciples of Fourier and
Saint´Simon�察�but it is certainly true that their ideal principle
was order and permanence�察�not indefinite progress。 For�察�setting
aside the artistic prejudices which would have led the Greeks to
reject this idea of unlimited improvement�察�we may note that the
modern conception of progress rests partly on the new enthusiasm
and worship of humanity�察�partly on the splendid hopes of material
improvements in civilisation which applied science has held out to
us�察�two influences from which ancient Greek thought seems to have
been strangely free。 For the Greeks marred the perfect humanism of
the great men whom they worshipped�察�by imputing to them divinity
and its supernatural powers�察�while their science was eminently
speculative and often almost mystic in its character�察�aiming at
culture and not utility�察�at higher spirituality and more intense
reverence for law�察�rather than at the increased facilities of
locomotion and the cheap production of common things about which
our modern scientific school ceases not to boast。 And lastly�察�and
perhaps chiefly�察�we must remember that the 'plague spot of all
Greek states��' as one of their own writers has called it�察�was the
terrible insecurity to life and property which resulted from the
factions and revolutions which ceased not to trouble Greece at all
times�察�raising a spirit of fanaticism such as religion raised in
the middle ages of Europe。
These considerations�察�then�察�will enable us to understand first how
it was that�察�radical and unscrupulous reformers as the Greek
political theorists were�察�yet�察�their end once attained�察�no modern
conservatives raised such outcry against the slightest innovation。
Even acknowledged improvements in such things as the games of
children or the modes of music were regarded by them with feelings
of extreme apprehension as the herald of the DRAPEAU ROUGE of
reform。 And secondly�察�it will show us how it was that Polybius
found his ideal in the commonwealth of Rome�察�and Aristotle�察�like
Mr。 Bright�察�in the middle classes。 Polybius�察�however�察�is not
content merely with pointing out his ideal state�察�but enters at
considerable length into the question of those general laws whose
consideration forms the chief essential of the philosophy of
history。
He starts by accepting the general principle that all things are
fated to decay ��which I noticed in the case of Plato���察�and that 'as
iron produces rust and as wood breeds the animals that destroy it��
so every state has in it the seeds of its own corruption。' He is
not�察�however�察�content to rest there�察�but proceeds to deal with the
more immediate causes of revolutions�察�which he says are twofold in
nature�察�either external or internal。 Now�察�the former�察�depending as
they do on the synchronous conjunction of other events outside the
sphere of scientific estimation�察�are from their very character
incalculable�察�but the latter�察�though assuming many forms�察�always
result from the over´great preponderance of any single element to
the detriment of the others�察�the rational law lying at the base of
all varieties of political changes being that stability can result
only from the statical equilibrium produced by the counteraction of
opposing parts�察�since the more simple a constitution is the more it
is insecure。 Plato had pointed out before how the extreme liberty