°®°®Ð¡ËµÍø > ÆäËûµç×ÓÊé > posterior analytics >

µÚ16ÕÂ

posterior analytics-µÚ16ÕÂ

С˵£º posterior analytics ×ÖÊý£º ÿҳ3500×Ö

°´¼üÅÌÉÏ·½Ïò¼ü ¡û »ò ¡ú ¿É¿ìËÙÉÏÏ·­Ò³£¬°´¼üÅÌÉ쵀 Enter ¼ü¿É»Øµ½±¾ÊéĿ¼ҳ£¬°´¼üÅÌÉÏ·½Ïò¼ü ¡ü ¿É»Øµ½±¾Ò³¶¥²¿£¡
¡ª¡ª¡ª¡ªÎ´ÔĶÁÍꣿ¼ÓÈëÊéÇ©ÒѱãÏ´μÌÐøÔĶÁ£¡






exhibit¡¡through¡¡demonstration¡¡the¡¡essential¡¡nature¡¡of¡¡things¡¡which



have¡¡a¡¡'middle'£»¡¡i¡£e¡£¡¡a¡¡cause¡¡of¡¡their¡¡substantial¡¡being¡¡other¡¡than



that¡¡being¡¡itself£»¡¡but¡¡we¡¡do¡¡not¡¡thereby¡¡demonstrate¡¡it¡£







¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡10







¡¡¡¡Since¡¡definition¡¡is¡¡said¡¡to¡¡be¡¡the¡¡statement¡¡of¡¡a¡¡thing's¡¡nature£»



obviously¡¡one¡¡kind¡¡of¡¡definition¡¡will¡¡be¡¡a¡¡statement¡¡of¡¡the¡¡meaning¡¡of



the¡¡name£»¡¡or¡¡of¡¡an¡¡equivalent¡¡nominal¡¡formula¡£¡¡A¡¡definition¡¡in¡¡this



sense¡¡tells¡¡you£»¡¡e¡£g¡£¡¡the¡¡meaning¡¡of¡¡the¡¡phrase¡¡'triangular



character'¡£¡¡When¡¡we¡¡are¡¡aware¡¡that¡¡triangle¡¡exists£»¡¡we¡¡inquire¡¡the



reason¡¡why¡¡it¡¡exists¡£¡¡But¡¡it¡¡is¡¡difficult¡¡thus¡¡to¡¡learn¡¡the¡¡definition



of¡¡things¡¡the¡¡existence¡¡of¡¡which¡¡we¡¡do¡¡not¡¡genuinely¡¡know¡­the¡¡cause¡¡of



this¡¡difficulty¡¡being£»¡¡as¡¡we¡¡said¡¡before£»¡¡that¡¡we¡¡only¡¡know



accidentally¡¡whether¡¡or¡¡not¡¡the¡¡thing¡¡exists¡£¡¡Moreover£»¡¡a¡¡statement



may¡¡be¡¡a¡¡unity¡¡in¡¡either¡¡of¡¡two¡¡ways£»¡¡by¡¡conjunction£»¡¡like¡¡the



Iliad£»¡¡or¡¡because¡¡it¡¡exhibits¡¡a¡¡single¡¡predicate¡¡as¡¡inhering¡¡not



accidentally¡¡in¡¡a¡¡single¡¡subject¡£



¡¡¡¡That¡¡then¡¡is¡¡one¡¡way¡¡of¡¡defining¡¡definition¡£¡¡Another¡¡kind¡¡of



definition¡¡is¡¡a¡¡formula¡¡exhibiting¡¡the¡¡cause¡¡of¡¡a¡¡thing's¡¡existence¡£



Thus¡¡the¡¡former¡¡signifies¡¡without¡¡proving£»¡¡but¡¡the¡¡latter¡¡will¡¡clearly



be¡¡a¡¡quasi¡­demonstration¡¡of¡¡essential¡¡nature£»¡¡differing¡¡from



demonstration¡¡in¡¡the¡¡arrangement¡¡of¡¡its¡¡terms¡£¡¡For¡¡there¡¡is¡¡a



difference¡¡between¡¡stating¡¡why¡¡it¡¡thunders£»¡¡and¡¡stating¡¡what¡¡is¡¡the



essential¡¡nature¡¡of¡¡thunder£»¡¡since¡¡the¡¡first¡¡statement¡¡will¡¡be



'Because¡¡fire¡¡is¡¡quenched¡¡in¡¡the¡¡clouds'£»¡¡while¡¡the¡¡statement¡¡of



what¡¡the¡¡nature¡¡of¡¡thunder¡¡is¡¡will¡¡be¡¡'The¡¡noise¡¡of¡¡fire¡¡being



quenched¡¡in¡¡the¡¡clouds'¡£¡¡Thus¡¡the¡¡same¡¡statement¡¡takes¡¡a¡¡different



form£º¡¡in¡¡one¡¡form¡¡it¡¡is¡¡continuous¡¡demonstration£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡other



definition¡£¡¡Again£»¡¡thunder¡¡can¡¡be¡¡defined¡¡as¡¡noise¡¡in¡¡the¡¡clouds£»



which¡¡is¡¡the¡¡conclusion¡¡of¡¡the¡¡demonstration¡¡embodying¡¡essential



nature¡£¡¡On¡¡the¡¡other¡¡hand¡¡the¡¡definition¡¡of¡¡immediates¡¡is¡¡an



indemonstrable¡¡positing¡¡of¡¡essential¡¡nature¡£



¡¡¡¡We¡¡conclude¡¡then¡¡that¡¡definition¡¡is¡¡£¨a£©¡¡an¡¡indemonstrable



statement¡¡of¡¡essential¡¡nature£»¡¡or¡¡£¨b£©¡¡a¡¡syllogism¡¡of¡¡essential



nature¡¡differing¡¡from¡¡demonstration¡¡in¡¡grammatical¡¡form£»¡¡or¡¡£¨c£©¡¡the



conclusion¡¡of¡¡a¡¡demonstration¡¡giving¡¡essential¡¡nature¡£



¡¡¡¡Our¡¡discussion¡¡has¡¡therefore¡¡made¡¡plain¡¡£¨1£©¡¡in¡¡what¡¡sense¡¡and¡¡of



what¡¡things¡¡the¡¡essential¡¡nature¡¡is¡¡demonstrable£»¡¡and¡¡in¡¡what¡¡sense



and¡¡of¡¡what¡¡things¡¡it¡¡is¡¡not£»¡¡£¨2£©¡¡what¡¡are¡¡the¡¡various¡¡meanings¡¡of¡¡the



term¡¡definition£»¡¡and¡¡in¡¡what¡¡sense¡¡and¡¡of¡¡what¡¡things¡¡it¡¡proves¡¡the



essential¡¡nature£»¡¡and¡¡in¡¡what¡¡sense¡¡and¡¡of¡¡what¡¡things¡¡it¡¡does¡¡not£»



£¨3£©¡¡what¡¡is¡¡the¡¡relation¡¡of¡¡definition¡¡to¡¡demonstration£»¡¡and¡¡how¡¡far



the¡¡same¡¡thing¡¡is¡¡both¡¡definable¡¡and¡¡demonstrable¡¡and¡¡how¡¡far¡¡it¡¡is



not¡£







¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡11







¡¡¡¡We¡¡think¡¡we¡¡have¡¡scientific¡¡knowledge¡¡when¡¡we¡¡know¡¡the¡¡cause£»¡¡and



there¡¡are¡¡four¡¡causes£º¡¡£¨1£©¡¡the¡¡definable¡¡form£»¡¡£¨2£©¡¡an¡¡antecedent¡¡which



necessitates¡¡a¡¡consequent£»¡¡£¨3£©¡¡the¡¡efficient¡¡cause£»¡¡£¨4£©¡¡the¡¡final



cause¡£¡¡Hence¡¡each¡¡of¡¡these¡¡can¡¡be¡¡the¡¡middle¡¡term¡¡of¡¡a¡¡proof£»¡¡for



£¨a£©¡¡though¡¡the¡¡inference¡¡from¡¡antecedent¡¡to¡¡necessary¡¡consequent



does¡¡not¡¡hold¡¡if¡¡only¡¡one¡¡premiss¡¡is¡¡assumed¡­two¡¡is¡¡the



minimum¡­still¡¡when¡¡there¡¡are¡¡two¡¡it¡¡holds¡¡on¡¡condition¡¡that¡¡they



have¡¡a¡¡single¡¡common¡¡middle¡¡term¡£¡¡So¡¡it¡¡is¡¡from¡¡the¡¡assumption¡¡of¡¡this



single¡¡middle¡¡term¡¡that¡¡the¡¡conclusion¡¡follows¡¡necessarily¡£¡¡The



following¡¡example¡¡will¡¡also¡¡show¡¡this¡£¡¡Why¡¡is¡¡the¡¡angle¡¡in¡¡a



semicircle¡¡a¡¡right¡¡angle£¿¡­or¡¡from¡¡what¡¡assumption¡¡does¡¡it¡¡follow



that¡¡it¡¡is¡¡a¡¡right¡¡angle£¿¡¡Thus£»¡¡let¡¡A¡¡be¡¡right¡¡angle£»¡¡B¡¡the¡¡half¡¡of



two¡¡right¡¡angles£»¡¡C¡¡the¡¡angle¡¡in¡¡a¡¡semicircle¡£¡¡Then¡¡B¡¡is¡¡the¡¡cause



in¡¡virtue¡¡of¡¡which¡¡A£»¡¡right¡¡angle£»¡¡is¡¡attributable¡¡to¡¡C£»¡¡the¡¡angle



in¡¡a¡¡semicircle£»¡¡since¡¡B=A¡¡and¡¡the¡¡other£»¡¡viz¡£¡¡C£»=B£»¡¡for¡¡C¡¡is¡¡half



of¡¡two¡¡right¡¡angles¡£¡¡Therefore¡¡it¡¡is¡¡the¡¡assumption¡¡of¡¡B£»¡¡the¡¡half



of¡¡two¡¡right¡¡angles£»¡¡from¡¡which¡¡it¡¡follows¡¡that¡¡A¡¡is¡¡attributable¡¡to



C£»¡¡i¡£e¡£¡¡that¡¡the¡¡angle¡¡in¡¡a¡¡semicircle¡¡is¡¡a¡¡right¡¡angle¡£¡¡Moreover£»¡¡B



is¡¡identical¡¡with¡¡£¨b£©¡¡the¡¡defining¡¡form¡¡of¡¡A£»¡¡since¡¡it¡¡is¡¡what¡¡A's



definition¡¡signifies¡£¡¡Moreover£»¡¡the¡¡formal¡¡cause¡¡has¡¡already¡¡been



shown¡¡to¡¡be¡¡the¡¡middle¡£¡¡£¨c£©¡¡'Why¡¡did¡¡the¡¡Athenians¡¡become¡¡involved



in¡¡the¡¡Persian¡¡war£¿'¡¡means¡¡'What¡¡cause¡¡originated¡¡the¡¡waging¡¡of¡¡war



against¡¡the¡¡Athenians£¿'¡¡and¡¡the¡¡answer¡¡is£»¡¡'Because¡¡they¡¡raided¡¡Sardis



with¡¡the¡¡Eretrians'£»¡¡since¡¡this¡¡originated¡¡the¡¡war¡£¡¡Let¡¡A¡¡be¡¡war£»¡¡B



unprovoked¡¡raiding£»¡¡C¡¡the¡¡Athenians¡£¡¡Then¡¡B£»¡¡unprovoked¡¡raiding£»¡¡is



true¡¡of¡¡C£»¡¡the¡¡Athenians£»¡¡and¡¡A¡¡is¡¡true¡¡of¡¡B£»¡¡since¡¡men¡¡make¡¡war¡¡on



the¡¡unjust¡¡aggressor¡£¡¡So¡¡A£»¡¡having¡¡war¡¡waged¡¡upon¡¡them£»¡¡is¡¡true¡¡of



B£»¡¡the¡¡initial¡¡aggressors£»¡¡and¡¡B¡¡is¡¡true¡¡of¡¡C£»¡¡the¡¡Athenians£»¡¡who¡¡were



the¡¡aggressors¡£¡¡Hence¡¡here¡¡too¡¡the¡¡cause¡­in¡¡this¡¡case¡¡the¡¡efficient



cause¡­is¡¡the¡¡middle¡¡term¡£¡¡£¨d£©¡¡This¡¡is¡¡no¡¡less¡¡true¡¡where¡¡the¡¡cause



is¡¡the¡¡final¡¡cause¡£¡¡E¡£g¡£¡¡why¡¡does¡¡one¡¡take¡¡a¡¡walk¡¡after¡¡supper£¿¡¡For



the¡¡sake¡¡of¡¡one's¡¡health¡£¡¡Why¡¡does¡¡a¡¡house¡¡exist£¿¡¡For¡¡the¡¡preservation



of¡¡one's¡¡goods¡£¡¡The¡¡end¡¡in¡¡view¡¡is¡¡in¡¡the¡¡one¡¡case¡¡health£»¡¡in¡¡the



other¡¡preservation¡£¡¡To¡¡ask¡¡the¡¡reason¡¡why¡¡one¡¡must¡¡walk¡¡after¡¡supper



is¡¡precisely¡¡to¡¡ask¡¡to¡¡what¡¡end¡¡one¡¡must¡¡do¡¡it¡£¡¡Let¡¡C¡¡be¡¡walking¡¡after



supper£»¡¡B¡¡the¡¡non¡­regurgitation¡¡of¡¡food£»¡¡A¡¡health¡£¡¡Then¡¡let¡¡walking



after¡¡supper¡¡possess¡¡the¡¡property¡¡of¡¡preventing¡¡food¡¡from¡¡rising¡¡to



the¡¡orifice¡¡of¡¡the¡¡stomach£»¡¡and¡¡let¡¡this¡¡condition¡¡be¡¡healthy£»¡¡since



it¡¡seems¡¡that¡¡B£»¡¡the¡¡non¡­regurgitation¡¡of¡¡food£»¡¡is¡¡attributable¡¡to



C£»¡¡taking¡¡a¡¡walk£»¡¡and¡¡that¡¡A£»¡¡health£»¡¡is¡¡attributable¡¡to¡¡B¡£¡¡What£»



then£»¡¡is¡¡the¡¡cause¡¡through¡¡which¡¡A£»¡¡the¡¡final¡¡cause£»¡¡inheres¡¡in¡¡C£¿



It¡¡is¡¡B£»¡¡the¡¡non¡­regurgitation¡¡of¡¡food£»¡¡but¡¡B¡¡is¡¡a¡¡kind¡¡of



definition¡¡of¡¡A£»¡¡for¡¡A¡¡will¡¡be¡¡explained¡¡by¡¡it¡£¡¡Why¡¡is¡¡B¡¡the¡¡cause



of¡¡A's¡¡belonging¡¡to¡¡C£¿¡¡Because¡¡to¡¡be¡¡in¡¡a¡¡condition¡¡such¡¡as¡¡B¡¡is¡¡to¡¡be



in¡¡health¡£¡¡The¡¡definitions¡¡must¡¡be¡¡transposed£»¡¡and¡¡then¡¡the¡¡detail



will¡¡become¡¡clearer¡£¡¡Incidentally£»¡¡here¡¡the¡¡order¡¡of¡¡coming¡¡to¡¡be¡¡is



the¡¡reverse¡¡of¡¡what¡¡it¡¡is¡¡in¡¡proof¡¡through¡¡the¡¡efficient¡¡cause£º¡¡in¡¡the



efficient¡¡order¡¡the¡¡middle¡¡term¡¡must¡¡come¡¡to¡¡be¡¡first£»¡¡whereas¡¡in



the¡¡teleological¡¡order¡¡the¡¡minor£»¡¡C£»¡¡must¡¡first¡¡take¡¡place£»¡¡and¡¡the



end¡¡in¡¡view¡¡comes¡¡last¡¡in¡¡time¡£



¡¡¡¡The¡¡same¡¡thing¡¡may¡¡exist¡¡for¡¡an¡¡end¡¡and¡¡be¡¡necessitated¡¡as¡¡well¡£¡¡For



example£»¡¡light¡¡shines¡¡through¡¡a¡¡lantern¡¡£¨1£©¡¡because¡¡that¡¡which¡¡consists



of¡¡relatively¡¡small¡¡particles¡¡necessarily¡¡passes¡¡through¡¡pores¡¡larger



than¡¡those¡¡particles¡­assuming¡¡that¡¡light¡¡does¡¡issue¡¡by¡¡penetration¡­



and¡¡£¨2£©¡¡for¡¡an¡¡end£»¡¡namely¡¡to¡¡save¡¡us¡¡from¡¡stumbling¡£¡¡If¡¡then£»¡¡a



thing¡¡can¡¡exist¡¡through¡¡two¡¡causes£»¡¡can¡¡it¡¡come¡¡to¡¡be¡¡through¡¡two



causes¡­as¡¡for¡¡instance¡¡if¡¡thunder¡¡be¡¡a¡¡hiss¡¡and¡¡a¡¡roar¡¡necessarily



produced¡¡by¡¡the¡¡quenching¡¡of¡¡fire£»¡¡and¡¡also¡¡designed£»¡¡as¡¡the



Pythagoreans¡¡say£»¡¡for¡¡a¡¡threat¡¡to¡¡terrify¡¡those¡¡that¡¡lie¡¡in¡¡Tartarus£¿



Indeed£»¡¡there¡¡are¡¡very¡¡many¡¡such¡¡cases£»¡¡mostly¡¡among¡¡the¡¡processes



and¡¡products¡¡of¡¡the¡¡natural¡¡world£»¡¡for¡¡nature£»¡¡in¡¡different¡¡senses



of¡¡the¡¡term¡¡'nature'£»¡¡produces¡¡now¡¡for¡¡an¡¡end£»¡¡now¡¡by¡¡necessity¡£



¡¡¡¡Necessity¡¡too¡¡is¡¡of¡¡two¡¡kinds¡£¡¡It¡¡may¡¡work¡¡in¡¡accordance¡¡with¡¡a



thing's¡¡natural¡¡tendency£»¡¡or¡¡by¡¡constraint¡¡and¡¡in¡¡opposition¡¡to¡¡it£»



as£»¡¡for¡¡instance£»¡¡by¡¡necessity¡¡a¡¡stone¡¡is¡¡borne¡¡both¡¡upwards¡¡and



downwards£»¡¡but¡¡not¡¡by¡¡the¡¡same¡¡necessity¡£



¡¡¡¡Of¡¡the¡¡products¡¡of¡¡man's¡¡intelligence¡¡some¡¡are¡¡never¡¡due¡¡to¡¡chance



or¡¡necessity¡¡but¡¡always¡¡to¡¡an¡¡end£»¡¡as¡¡for¡¡example¡¡a¡¡house¡¡or¡¡a¡¡statue£»



others£»¡¡such¡¡as¡¡health¡¡or¡¡safety£»¡¡may¡¡result¡¡from¡¡chance¡¡as¡¡well¡£



¡¡¡¡It¡¡is¡¡mostly¡¡in¡¡cases¡¡where¡¡the¡¡issue¡¡is¡¡indeterminate¡¡£¨though



only¡¡where¡¡the¡¡production¡¡does¡¡not¡¡originate¡¡in¡¡chance£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡end¡¡is



consequently¡¡good£©£»¡¡that¡¡a¡¡result¡¡is¡¡due¡¡to¡¡an¡¡end£»¡¡and¡¡this¡¡is¡¡true



alike¡¡in¡¡nature¡¡or¡¡in¡¡art¡£¡¡By¡¡chance£»¡¡on¡¡the¡¡other¡¡hand£»¡¡nothing¡¡comes



to¡¡be¡¡for¡¡an¡¡end¡£



¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡¡12







¡¡The¡¡effect¡¡may¡¡be¡¡still¡¡coming¡¡to¡¡be£»¡¡or¡¡its¡¡occurrence¡¡may¡¡be¡¡past



or¡¡future£»¡¡yet¡¡the¡¡cause¡¡will¡¡be¡¡the¡¡same¡¡as¡¡when¡¡it¡¡is¡¡actually



existent¡­for¡¡it¡¡is¡¡the¡¡middle¡¡which¡¡is¡¡the¡¡cause¡­except¡¡that¡¡if¡¡the



effect¡¡actually¡¡exists¡¡the¡¡cause¡¡is¡¡actually¡¡existent£»¡¡if¡¡it¡¡is¡¡coming



to¡¡be¡¡so¡¡is¡¡the¡¡cause£»¡¡if¡¡its¡¡occurrence¡¡is¡¡past¡¡the¡¡cause¡¡is¡¡past£»¡¡if



future¡¡the¡¡cause¡¡is¡¡future¡£¡¡For¡¡example£»¡¡the¡¡moon¡¡was¡¡eclipsed¡¡because



the¡¡earth¡¡intervened£»¡¡is¡¡becoming¡¡eclipsed¡¡because¡¡the¡¡earth¡¡is¡¡in



process¡¡of¡¡intervening£»¡¡will¡¡be¡¡eclipsed¡¡because¡¡the¡¡earth¡¡will



intervene£»¡¡is¡¡eclipsed¡¡because¡¡the¡¡earth¡¡intervenes¡£



¡¡¡¡To¡¡take¡¡a¡¡second¡¡example£º¡¡assuming¡¡that¡¡the¡¡definition¡¡of¡¡ice¡¡is



solidified¡¡water£»¡¡let¡¡C¡¡be¡¡water£»¡¡A¡¡solidified£»¡¡B¡¡the¡¡middle£»¡¡which¡¡is



the¡¡cause£»¡¡namely¡¡total¡¡failure¡¡of¡¡heat¡£¡¡Then¡¡B¡¡is¡¡attributed¡¡to¡¡C£»



and¡¡A£»¡¡solidification£»¡¡to¡¡B£º¡¡ice¡¡when¡¡B¡¡is¡¡occurring£»¡¡has¡¡formed



when¡¡B¡¡has¡¡occurred£»¡¡and¡¡will¡¡form¡¡when¡¡B¡¡shall¡¡occur¡£



¡¡¡¡This¡¡sort¡¡of¡¡cause£»¡¡then£»¡¡and¡¡its¡¡effect¡¡come¡¡to¡¡be¡¡simultaneously



when¡¡they¡¡are¡¡in¡¡process¡¡of¡¡becoming£»¡¡and¡¡exist¡¡simultaneously¡¡when



they¡¡actually¡¡exist£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡same¡¡holds¡¡good¡¡when¡¡they¡¡are¡¡past¡¡and



when¡¡they¡¡are¡¡future¡£¡¡But¡¡what¡¡of¡¡cases¡¡where¡¡they¡¡are¡¡not



simultaneous£¿¡¡Can¡¡causes¡¡and¡¡effects¡¡different¡¡from¡¡one¡¡another



form£»¡¡as¡¡they¡¡seem¡¡to¡¡us¡¡to¡¡form£»¡¡a¡¡continuous¡¡succession£»¡¡a¡¡past



effect¡¡resulting¡¡from¡¡a¡¡past¡¡cause¡¡different¡¡from¡¡itself£»¡¡a¡¡future



effect¡¡from¡¡a¡¡future¡¡cause¡¡different¡¡from¡¡it£»¡¡and¡¡an¡¡effect¡¡which¡¡is



coming¡­to¡­be¡¡from¡¡a¡¡cause¡¡different¡¡from¡¡and¡¡prior¡¡to¡¡it£¿¡¡Now¡¡on



this¡¡theory¡¡it¡¡is¡¡from¡¡the¡¡posterior¡¡event¡¡that¡¡we¡¡reason¡¡£¨and¡¡this



though¡¡these¡¡later¡¡events¡¡actually¡¡have¡¡their¡¡source¡¡of¡¡origin¡¡in



previous¡¡eventsa¡¡fact¡¡which¡¡shows¡¡that¡¡also¡¡when¡¡the¡¡effect¡¡is



coming¡­to¡­be¡¡we¡¡still¡¡reason¡¡from¡¡the¡¡posterior¡¡event£©£»¡¡and¡¡from¡¡the



event¡¡we¡¡cannot¡¡reason¡¡£¨we¡¡cannot¡¡argue¡¡that¡¡because¡¡an¡¡event¡¡A¡¡has



occurred£»¡¡therefore¡¡an¡¡event¡¡B¡¡has¡¡occurred¡¡subsequently¡¡to¡¡A¡¡but



still¡¡in¡¡the¡¡past¡­and¡¡the¡¡same¡¡holds¡¡good¡¡if¡¡the¡¡occurrence¡¡is



future£©¡­cannot¡¡reason¡¡because£»¡¡be¡¡the¡¡time¡¡interval¡¡definite¡¡or



indefinite£»¡¡it¡¡will¡¡never¡¡be¡¡possible¡¡to¡¡infer¡¡that¡¡because¡¡it¡¡is¡¡true



to¡¡say¡¡that¡¡A¡¡occurred£»¡¡therefore¡¡it¡¡is¡¡true¡¡to¡¡say¡¡that¡¡B£»¡¡the



subsequent¡¡event£»¡¡occurred£»¡¡for¡¡in¡¡the¡¡interval¡¡between¡¡the¡¡events£»



though¡¡A¡¡has¡¡already¡¡occurred£»¡¡the¡¡latter¡¡statement¡¡will¡¡be¡¡false¡£¡¡And



the¡¡same¡¡argument¡¡applies¡¡also¡¡to¡¡future¡¡events£»¡¡i¡£e¡£¡¡one¡¡cannot¡¡infer



from¡¡an¡¡event¡¡which¡¡occurred¡¡in¡¡the¡¡past¡¡that¡¡a¡¡future¡¡event¡¡will



occur¡£¡¡The¡¡reason¡¡of¡¡this¡¡is¡¡that¡¡the¡¡middle¡¡must¡¡be¡¡homogeneous£»¡¡past



when¡¡the¡¡extremes¡¡are¡¡past£»¡¡future¡¡when¡¡they¡¡are¡¡future£»¡¡coming¡¡to

·µ»ØÄ¿Â¼ ÉÏÒ»Ò³ ÏÂÒ»Ò³ »Øµ½¶¥²¿ ÔÞ£¨0£© ²È£¨0£©

Äã¿ÉÄÜϲ»¶µÄ