decline of science in england-µÚ21ÕÂ
°´¼üÅÌÉÏ·½Ïò¼ü ¡û »ò ¡ú ¿É¿ìËÙÉÏÏ·ҳ£¬°´¼üÅÌÉ쵀 Enter ¼ü¿É»Øµ½±¾ÊéĿ¼ҳ£¬°´¼üÅÌÉÏ·½Ïò¼ü ¡ü ¿É»Øµ½±¾Ò³¶¥²¿£¡
¡ª¡ª¡ª¡ªÎ´ÔĶÁÍꣿ¼ÓÈëÊéÇ©ÒѱãÏ´μÌÐøÔĶÁ£¡
he¡¡adjustment£»¡¡and¡¡repeat¡¡the¡¡process¡¡fifty¡¡or¡¡a¡¡hundred¡¡times¡£¡¡¡¡This¡¡will¡¡not¡¡merely¡¡afford¡¡him¡¡excellent¡¡practice£»¡¡but¡¡enable¡¡him¡¡to¡¡judge¡¡of¡¡his¡¡own¡¡skill¡£
The¡¡first¡¡step¡¡in¡¡the¡¡use¡¡of¡¡every¡¡instrument£»¡¡is¡¡to¡¡find¡¡the¡¡limits¡¡within¡¡which¡¡its¡¡employer¡¡can¡¡measure¡¡the¡¡SAME¡¡OBJECT¡¡UNDER¡¡THE¡¡SAME¡¡CIRCUMSTANCES¡£¡¡¡¡It¡¡is¡¡only¡¡from¡¡a¡¡knowledge¡¡of¡¡this£»¡¡that¡¡he¡¡can¡¡have¡¡confidence¡¡in¡¡his¡¡measures¡¡of¡¡the¡¡SAME¡¡OBJECT¡¡UNDER¡¡DIFFERENT¡¡CIRCUMSTANCES£»¡¡and¡¡after¡¡that£»¡¡of¡¡DIFFERENT¡¡OBJECTS¡¡UNDER¡¡DIFFERENT¡¡CIRCUMSTANCES¡£
These¡¡principles¡¡are¡¡applicable¡¡to¡¡almost¡¡all¡¡instruments¡£¡¡¡¡If¡¡a¡¡person¡¡is¡¡desirous¡¡of¡¡ascertaining¡¡heights¡¡by¡¡a¡¡mountain¡¡barometer£»¡¡let¡¡him¡¡begin¡¡by¡¡adjusting¡¡the¡¡instrument¡¡in¡¡his¡¡own¡¡study£»¡¡and¡¡having¡¡made¡¡the¡¡upper¡¡contact£»¡¡let¡¡him¡¡write¡¡down¡¡the¡¡reading¡¡of¡¡the¡¡vernier£»¡¡and¡¡then¡¡let¡¡him¡¡derange¡¡the¡¡UPPER¡¡adjustment¡¡ONLY£»¡¡re¡adjust£»¡¡and¡¡repeat¡¡the¡¡reading¡£¡¡¡¡When¡¡he¡¡is¡¡satisfied¡¡about¡¡the¡¡limits¡¡within¡¡which¡¡he¡¡can¡¡make¡¡that¡¡adjustment£»¡¡let¡¡him¡¡do¡¡the¡¡same¡¡repeatedly¡¡with¡¡the¡¡lower£»¡¡but¡¡let¡¡him¡¡not£»¡¡until¡¡he¡¡knows¡¡his¡¡own¡¡errors¡¡in¡¡reading¡¡and¡¡adjusting£»¡¡pronounce¡¡upon¡¡those¡¡of¡¡the¡¡instrument¡£¡¡¡¡In¡¡the¡¡case¡¡of¡¡a¡¡barometer£»¡¡he¡¡must¡¡also¡¡be¡¡assured£»¡¡that¡¡the¡¡temperature¡¡of¡¡the¡¡mercury¡¡does¡¡not¡¡change¡¡during¡¡the¡¡interval¡£
A¡¡friend¡¡once¡¡brought¡¡to¡¡me¡¡a¡¡beautifully¡¡constructed¡¡piece¡¡of¡¡mechanism£»¡¡for¡¡marking¡¡minute¡¡portions¡¡of¡¡time£»¡¡the¡¡three¡¡¡hundredth¡¡parts¡¡of¡¡a¡¡second¡¡were¡¡indicated¡¡by¡¡it¡£¡¡¡¡It¡¡was¡¡a¡¡kind¡¡of¡¡watch£»¡¡with¡¡a¡¡pin¡¡for¡¡stopping¡¡one¡¡of¡¡the¡¡hands¡£¡¡I¡¡proposed¡¡that¡¡we¡¡should¡¡each¡¡endeavour¡¡to¡¡stop¡¡it¡¡twenty¡¡times¡¡in¡¡succession£»¡¡at¡¡the¡¡same¡¡point¡£¡¡¡¡We¡¡were¡¡both¡¡equally¡¡unpractised£»¡¡and¡¡our¡¡first¡¡endeavours¡¡showed¡¡that¡¡we¡¡could¡¡not¡¡be¡¡confident¡¡of¡¡the¡¡twentieth¡¡part¡¡of¡¡a¡¡second¡£¡¡In¡¡fact£»¡¡both¡¡the¡¡time¡¡occupied¡¡in¡¡causing¡¡the¡¡extremities¡¡of¡¡the¡¡fingers¡¡to¡¡obey¡¡the¡¡volition£»¡¡as¡¡well¡¡as¡¡the¡¡time¡¡employed¡¡in¡¡compressing¡¡the¡¡flesh¡¡before¡¡the¡¡fingers¡¡acted¡¡on¡¡the¡¡stop£»¡¡appeared¡¡to¡¡influence¡¡the¡¡accuracy¡¡of¡¡our¡¡observations¡£¡¡From¡¡some¡¡few¡¡experiments¡¡I¡¡made£»¡¡I¡¡thought¡¡I¡¡perceived¡¡that¡¡the¡¡rapidity¡¡of¡¡the¡¡transmission¡¡of¡¡the¡¡effects¡¡of¡¡the¡¡will£»¡¡depended¡¡on¡¡the¡¡state¡¡of¡¡fatigue¡¡or¡¡health¡¡of¡¡the¡¡body¡£¡¡If¡¡any¡¡one¡¡were¡¡to¡¡make¡¡experiments¡¡on¡¡this¡¡subject£»¡¡it¡¡might¡¡be¡¡interesting£»¡¡to¡¡compare¡¡the¡¡rapidity¡¡of¡¡the¡¡transmission¡¡of¡¡volition¡¡in¡¡different¡¡persons£»¡¡with¡¡the¡¡time¡¡occupied¡¡in¡¡obliterating¡¡an¡¡impression¡¡made¡¡on¡¡one¡¡of¡¡the¡¡senses¡¡of¡¡the¡¡same¡¡persons¡£¡¡¡¡For¡¡example£»¡¡by¡¡having¡¡a¡¡mechanism¡¡to¡¡make¡¡a¡¡piece¡¡of¡¡ignited¡¡charcoal¡¡revolve¡¡with¡¡different¡¡degrees¡¡of¡¡velocity£»¡¡some¡¡persons¡¡will¡¡perceive¡¡a¡¡continuous¡¡circle¡¡of¡¡light¡¡before¡¡others£»¡¡whose¡¡retina¡¡does¡¡not¡¡retain¡¡so¡¡long¡¡impressions¡¡that¡¡are¡¡made¡¡upon¡¡it¡£
SECTION¡¡3¡£
ON¡¡THE¡¡FRAUDS¡¡OF¡¡OBSERVERS¡£
Scientific¡¡inquiries¡¡are¡¡more¡¡exposed¡¡than¡¡most¡¡others¡¡to¡¡the¡¡inroads¡¡of¡¡pretenders£»¡¡and¡¡I¡¡feel¡¡that¡¡I¡¡shall¡¡deserve¡¡the¡¡thanks¡¡of¡¡all¡¡who¡¡really¡¡value¡¡truth£»¡¡by¡¡stating¡¡some¡¡of¡¡the¡¡methods¡¡of¡¡deceiving¡¡practised¡¡by¡¡unworthy¡¡claimants¡¡for¡¡its¡¡honours£»¡¡whilst¡¡the¡¡mere¡¡circumstance¡¡of¡¡their¡¡arts¡¡being¡¡known¡¡may¡¡deter¡¡future¡¡offenders¡£
There¡¡are¡¡several¡¡species¡¡of¡¡impositions¡¡that¡¡have¡¡been¡¡practised¡¡in¡¡science£»¡¡which¡¡are¡¡but¡¡little¡¡known£»¡¡except¡¡to¡¡the¡¡initiated£»¡¡and¡¡which¡¡it¡¡may¡¡perhaps¡¡be¡¡possible¡¡to¡¡render¡¡quite¡¡intelligible¡¡to¡¡ordinary¡¡understandings¡£¡¡¡¡These¡¡may¡¡be¡¡classed¡¡under¡¡the¡¡heads¡¡of¡¡hoaxing£»¡¡forging£»¡¡trimming£»¡¡and¡¡cooking¡£
OF¡¡HOAXING¡£¡¡¡¡This£»¡¡perhaps£»¡¡will¡¡be¡¡better¡¡explained¡¡by¡¡an¡¡example¡£¡¡¡¡In¡¡the¡¡year¡¡1788£»¡¡M¡£¡¡Gioeni£»¡¡a¡¡knight¡¡of¡¡Malta£»¡¡published¡¡at¡¡Naples¡¡an¡¡account¡¡of¡¡a¡¡new¡¡family¡¡of¡¡Testacea£»¡¡of¡¡which¡¡he¡¡described£»¡¡with¡¡great¡¡minuteness£»¡¡one¡¡species£»¡¡the¡¡specific¡¡name¡¡of¡¡which¡¡has¡¡been¡¡taken¡¡from¡¡its¡¡habitat£»¡¡and¡¡the¡¡generic¡¡he¡¡took¡¡from¡¡his¡¡own¡¡family£»¡¡calling¡¡it¡¡Gioenia¡¡Sicula¡£¡¡It¡¡consisted¡¡of¡¡two¡¡rounded¡¡triangular¡¡valves£»¡¡united¡¡by¡¡the¡¡body¡¡of¡¡the¡¡animal¡¡to¡¡a¡¡smaller¡¡valve¡¡in¡¡front¡£¡¡¡¡He¡¡gave¡¡figures¡¡of¡¡the¡¡animal£»¡¡and¡¡of¡¡its¡¡parts£»¡¡described¡¡its¡¡structure£»¡¡its¡¡mode¡¡of¡¡advancing¡¡along¡¡the¡¡sand£»¡¡the¡¡figure¡¡of¡¡the¡¡tract¡¡it¡¡left£»¡¡and¡¡estimated¡¡the¡¡velocity¡¡of¡¡its¡¡course¡¡at¡¡about¡¡two¡thirds¡¡of¡¡an¡¡inch¡¡per¡¡minute¡£¡¡¡¡He¡¡then¡¡described¡¡the¡¡structure¡¡of¡¡the¡¡shell£»¡¡which¡¡he¡¡treated¡¡with¡¡nitric¡¡acid£»¡¡and¡¡found¡¡it¡¡approach¡¡nearer¡¡to¡¡the¡¡nature¡¡of¡¡bone¡¡than¡¡any¡¡other¡¡shell¡£
The¡¡editors¡¡of¡¡the¡¡ENCYCLOPEDIE¡¡METHODIQUE£»¡¡have¡¡copied¡¡this¡¡description£»¡¡and¡¡have¡¡given¡¡figures¡¡of¡¡the¡¡Gioenia¡¡Sicula¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡fact£»¡¡however£»¡¡is£»¡¡that¡¡no¡¡such¡¡animal¡¡exists£»¡¡but¡¡that¡¡the¡¡knight¡¡of¡¡Malta£»¡¡finding¡¡on¡¡the¡¡Sicilian¡¡shores¡¡the¡¡three¡¡internal¡¡bones¡¡of¡¡one¡¡of¡¡the¡¡species¡¡of¡¡Bulla£»¡¡of¡¡which¡¡some¡¡are¡¡found¡¡on¡¡the¡¡south¡western¡¡coast¡¡of¡¡England£»¡¡£§Bulla¡¡lignaria£§¡¡described¡¡and¡¡figured¡¡these¡¡bones¡¡most¡¡accurately£»¡¡and¡¡drew¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡of¡¡the¡¡rest¡¡of¡¡the¡¡description¡¡from¡¡the¡¡stores¡¡of¡¡his¡¡own¡¡imagination¡£
Such¡¡frauds¡¡are¡¡far¡¡from¡¡justifiable£»¡¡the¡¡only¡¡excuse¡¡which¡¡has¡¡been¡¡made¡¡for¡¡them¡¡is£»¡¡when¡¡they¡¡have¡¡been¡¡practised¡¡on¡¡scientific¡¡academies¡¡which¡¡had¡¡reached¡¡the¡¡period¡¡of¡¡dotage¡£¡¡¡¡It¡¡should¡¡however¡¡be¡¡remembered£»¡¡that¡¡the¡¡productions¡¡of¡¡nature¡¡are¡¡so¡¡various£»¡¡that¡¡mere¡¡strangeness¡¡is¡¡very¡¡far¡¡from¡¡sufficient¡¡to¡¡render¡¡doubtful¡¡the¡¡existence¡¡of¡¡any¡¡creature¡¡for¡¡which¡¡there¡¡is¡¡evidence£»¡¡¡¡£§The¡¡number¡¡of¡¡vertebrae¡¡in¡¡the¡¡neck¡¡of¡¡the¡¡plesiosaurus¡¡is¡¡a¡¡strange¡¡but¡¡ascertained¡¡fact£§¡¡and¡¡that£»¡¡unless¡¡the¡¡memoir¡¡itself¡¡involves¡¡principles¡¡so¡¡contradictory£»¡¡as¡¡to¡¡outweigh¡¡the¡¡evidence¡¡of¡¡a¡¡single¡¡witness£»¡¡¡¡£§The¡¡kind¡¡of¡¡contradiction¡¡which¡¡is¡¡here¡¡alluded¡¡to£»¡¡is¡¡that¡¡which¡¡arises¡¡from¡¡well¡¡ascertained¡¡final¡¡causes£»¡¡for¡¡instance£»¡¡the¡¡ruminating¡¡stomach¡¡of¡¡the¡¡hoofed¡¡animals£»¡¡is¡¡in¡¡no¡¡case¡¡combined¡¡with¡¡the¡¡claw¡shaped¡¡form¡¡of¡¡the¡¡extremities£»¡¡frequent¡¡in¡¡many¡¡of¡¡the¡¡carniverous¡¡animals£»¡¡and¡¡necessary¡¡to¡¡some¡¡of¡¡them¡¡for¡¡the¡¡purpose¡¡of¡¡seizing¡¡their¡¡prey£§¡¡it¡¡can¡¡only¡¡be¡¡regarded¡¡as¡¡a¡¡deception£»¡¡without¡¡the¡¡accompaniment¡¡of¡¡wit¡£
FORGING¡¡differs¡¡from¡¡hoaxing£»¡¡inasmuch¡¡as¡¡in¡¡the¡¡latter¡¡the¡¡deceit¡¡is¡¡intended¡¡to¡¡last¡¡for¡¡a¡¡time£»¡¡and¡¡then¡¡be¡¡discovered£»¡¡to¡¡the¡¡ridicule¡¡of¡¡those¡¡who¡¡have¡¡credited¡¡it£»¡¡whereas¡¡the¡¡forger¡¡is¡¡one¡¡who£»¡¡wishing¡¡to¡¡acquire¡¡a¡¡reputation¡¡for¡¡science£»¡¡records¡¡observations¡¡which¡¡he¡¡has¡¡never¡¡made¡£¡¡¡¡This¡¡is¡¡sometimes¡¡accomplished¡¡in¡¡astronomical¡¡observations¡¡by¡¡calculating¡¡the¡¡time¡¡and¡¡circumstances¡¡of¡¡the¡¡phenomenon¡¡from¡¡tables¡£¡¡The¡¡observations¡¡of¡¡the¡¡second¡¡comet¡¡of¡¡1784£»¡¡which¡¡was¡¡only¡¡seen¡¡by¡¡the¡¡Chevalier¡¡D'Angos£»¡¡were¡¡long¡¡suspected¡¡to¡¡be¡¡a¡¡forgery£»¡¡and¡¡were¡¡at¡¡length¡¡proved¡¡to¡¡be¡¡so¡¡by¡¡the¡¡calculations¡¡and¡¡reasonings¡¡of¡¡Encke¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡pretended¡¡observations¡¡did¡¡not¡¡accord¡¡amongst¡¡each¡¡other¡¡in¡¡giving¡¡any¡¡possible¡¡orbit¡£¡¡¡¡But¡¡M¡£¡¡Encke¡¡detected¡¡an¡¡orbit£»¡¡belonging¡¡to¡¡some¡¡of¡¡the¡¡observations£»¡¡from¡¡which¡¡he¡¡found¡¡that¡¡all¡¡the¡¡rest¡¡might¡¡be¡¡almost¡¡precisely¡¡deduced£»¡¡provided¡¡a¡¡mistake¡¡of¡¡a¡¡unity¡¡in¡¡the¡¡index¡¡of¡¡the¡¡logarithm¡¡of¡¡the¡¡radius¡¡vector¡¡were¡¡supposed¡¡to¡¡have¡¡been¡¡made¡¡in¡¡all¡¡the¡¡rest¡¡of¡¡the¡¡calculations¡£¡¡¡¡ZACH¡£¡¡CORR¡£¡¡ASTRON¡£¡¡Tom¡£¡¡IV¡£¡¡p¡£¡¡456¡£
Fortunately¡¡instances¡¡of¡¡the¡¡occurrence¡¡of¡¡forging¡¡are¡¡rare¡£
TRIMMING¡¡consists¡¡in¡¡clipping¡¡off¡¡little¡¡bits¡¡here¡¡and¡¡there¡¡from¡¡those¡¡observations¡¡which¡¡differ¡¡most¡¡in¡¡excess¡¡from¡¡the¡¡mean£»¡¡and¡¡in¡¡sticking¡¡them¡¡on¡¡to¡¡those¡¡which¡¡are¡¡too¡¡small£»¡¡a¡¡species¡¡of¡¡¡¨equitable¡¡adjustment£»¡¨¡¡as¡¡a¡¡radical¡¡would¡¡term¡¡it£»¡¡which¡¡cannot¡¡be¡¡admitted¡¡in¡¡science¡£
This¡¡fraud¡¡is¡¡not¡¡perhaps¡¡so¡¡injurious¡¡£¨except¡¡to¡¡the¡¡character¡¡of¡¡the¡¡trimmer£©¡¡as¡¡cooking£»¡¡which¡¡the¡¡next¡¡paragraph¡¡will¡¡teach£»¡¡The¡¡reason¡¡of¡¡this¡¡is£»¡¡that¡¡the¡¡AVERAGE¡¡given¡¡by¡¡the¡¡observations¡¡of¡¡the¡¡trimmer¡¡is¡¡the¡¡same£»¡¡whether¡¡they¡¡are¡¡trimmed¡¡or¡¡untrimmed¡£¡¡¡¡His¡¡object¡¡is¡¡to¡¡gain¡¡a¡¡reputation¡¡for¡¡extreme¡¡accuracy¡¡in¡¡making¡¡observations£»¡¡but¡¡from¡¡respect¡¡for¡¡truth£»¡¡or¡¡from¡¡a¡¡prudent¡¡foresight£»¡¡he¡¡does¡¡not¡¡distort¡¡the¡¡position¡¡of¡¡the¡¡fact¡¡he¡¡gets¡¡from¡¡nature£»¡¡and¡¡it¡¡is¡¡usually¡¡difficult¡¡to¡¡detect¡¡him¡£¡¡¡¡He¡¡has¡¡more¡¡sense¡¡or¡¡less¡¡adventure¡¡than¡¡the¡¡Cook¡£
OF¡¡COOKING¡£¡¡¡¡This¡¡is¡¡an¡¡art¡¡of¡¡various¡¡forms£»¡¡the¡¡object¡¡of¡¡which¡¡is¡¡to¡¡give¡¡to¡¡ordinary¡¡observations¡¡the¡¡appearance¡¡and¡¡character¡¡of¡¡those¡¡of¡¡the¡¡highest¡¡degree¡¡of¡¡accuracy¡£
One¡¡of¡¡its¡¡numerous¡¡processes¡¡is¡¡to¡¡make¡¡multitudes¡¡of¡¡observations£»¡¡and¡¡out¡¡of¡¡these¡¡to¡¡select¡¡those¡¡only¡¡which¡¡agree£»¡¡or¡¡very¡¡nearly¡¡agree¡£¡¡¡¡If¡¡a¡¡hundred¡¡observations¡¡are¡¡made£»¡¡the¡¡cook¡¡must¡¡be¡¡very¡¡unlucky¡¡if¡¡he¡¡cannot¡¡pick¡¡out¡¡fifteen¡¡or¡¡twenty¡¡which¡¡will¡¡do¡¡for¡¡serving¡¡up¡£
Another¡¡approved¡¡receipt£»¡¡when¡¡the¡¡observations¡¡to¡¡be¡¡used¡¡will¡¡not¡¡come¡¡within¡¡the¡¡limit¡¡of¡¡accuracy£»¡¡which¡¡it¡¡has¡¡been¡¡resolved¡¡they¡¡shall¡¡possess£»¡¡is¡¡to¡¡calculate¡¡them¡¡by¡¡two¡¡different¡¡formulae¡£¡¡¡¡The¡¡difference¡¡in¡¡the¡¡constants¡¡employed¡¡in¡¡those¡¡formulae¡¡has¡¡sometimes¡¡a¡¡most¡¡happy¡¡effect¡¡in¡¡promoting¡¡unanimity¡¡amongst¡¡discordant¡¡measures¡£¡¡¡¡If¡¡still¡¡greater¡¡accuracy¡¡is¡¡required£»¡¡three¡¡or¡¡more¡¡formulae¡¡can¡¡be¡¡used¡£
It¡¡must¡¡be¡¡admitted¡¡that¡¡this¡¡receipt¡¡is¡¡in¡¡some¡¡instances¡¡rather¡¡hazardous£º¡¡¡¡but¡¡in¡¡cases¡¡where¡¡the¡¡positions¡¡of¡¡stars£»¡¡as¡¡given¡¡in¡¡different¡¡catalogues£»¡¡occur£»¡¡or¡¡different¡¡tables¡¡of¡¡specific¡¡gravities£»¡¡specific¡¡heats£»¡¡&c¡£¡¡&c¡££»¡¡it¡¡may¡¡safely¡¡be¡¡employed¡£¡¡As¡¡no¡¡catalogue¡¡contains¡¡all¡¡stars£»¡¡the¡¡computer¡¡must¡¡have¡¡recourse¡¡to¡¡several£»¡¡and¡¡if¡¡he¡¡is¡¡obliged¡¡to¡¡use¡¡his¡¡judgment¡¡in¡¡the¡¡selection£»¡¡it¡¡would¡¡be¡¡cruel¡¡to¡¡deny¡¡him¡¡any¡¡little¡¡advantage¡¡which¡¡might¡¡result¡¡from¡¡it¡£¡¡¡¡It¡¡may£»¡¡however£»¡¡be¡¡necessary¡¡to¡¡guard¡¡against¡¡one¡¡mistake¡¡into¡¡which¡¡persons¡¡might¡¡fall¡£
If¡¡an¡¡observer¡¡calculate¡¡particular¡¡stars¡¡from¡¡a¡¡catalogue¡¡which¡¡makes¡¡them¡¡accord¡¡precisely¡¡with¡¡the¡¡rest¡¡of¡¡his¡¡results£»¡¡whereas£»¡¡had¡¡they¡¡been¡¡computed¡¡from¡¡other¡¡catalogues¡¡the¡¡difference¡¡would¡¡have¡¡been¡¡considerable£»¡¡it¡¡is¡¡very¡¡unfair¡¡to¡¡accuse¡¡him¡¡of¡¡COOKING£»¡¡forthose¡¡catalogues¡¡may¡¡have¡¡been¡¡notoriously¡¡inaccurate£»¡¡orthey¡¡may¡¡have¡¡been¡¡superseded¡¡by¡¡others¡¡more¡¡recent£»¡¡or¡¡made¡¡with¡¡better¡¡instruments£»¡¡orthe¡¡observer¡¡may¡¡have¡¡been¡¡totally¡¡ignorant¡¡of¡¡their¡¡existence¡£
It¡¡sometimes¡¡happens¡¡that¡¡the¡¡constant¡¡quantities¡¡in¡¡formulae¡¡given¡¡by¡¡the¡¡highest¡¡authorities£»¡¡although¡¡they¡¡differ¡¡amongst¡¡themselves£»¡¡yet¡¡they¡¡will¡¡not¡¡suit¡¡the¡¡materials¡£¡¡¡¡This¡¡is¡¡precisely¡¡the¡¡point¡¡in¡¡which¡¡the¡¡skill¡¡of¡¡the¡¡artist¡¡is¡¡shown£»¡¡and¡¡an¡¡accomplished¡¡cook¡¡will¡¡carry¡¡himself¡¡triumphantly¡¡through¡¡it£»¡¡provided¡¡happily¡¡some¡¡mean¡¡value¡¡of¡¡such¡¡constants¡¡will¡¡fit¡¡his¡¡observations¡£¡¡¡¡He¡¡will¡¡discuss¡¡the¡¡relative¡¡merits¡¡of¡¡formulae¡¡he¡¡has¡¡just¡¡knowledge¡¡enough¡¡to¡¡use£»¡¡and£»¡¡with¡¡admirable¡¡candour¡¡assigning¡¡their¡¡proper¡¡share¡¡of¡¡applause¡¡to¡¡Bessel£»¡¡to¡¡Gauss£»¡¡and¡¡to¡¡Laplace£»¡¡he¡¡will¡¡take¡¡THAT¡¡mean¡¡value¡¡of¡¡the¡¡constant¡¡used¡¡by¡¡three¡¡such¡¡philosophers£»¡¡which¡¡will¡¡make¡¡his¡¡own¡¡observations¡¡accord¡¡to¡¡a¡¡miracle¡£
There¡¡are¡¡some¡¡few¡¡reflections¡¡which¡¡I¡¡would¡¡venture¡¡to¡¡suggest¡¡to¡¡those¡¡who¡¡cook£»¡¡although¡¡they¡¡may¡¡perhaps¡¡not¡¡receive¡¡the¡¡attention¡¡which£»¡¡in¡¡my¡¡opinion£»¡¡they¡¡deserve£»¡¡from¡¡not¡¡coming¡¡from¡¡the¡¡pen¡¡of¡¡an¡¡adept¡£
In¡¡the¡¡first¡¡place£»¡¡it¡¡must¡¡require¡¡much¡¡time¡¡to¡¡try¡¡different¡¡formulae¡£¡¡¡¡In¡¡the¡¡next¡¡place¡¡it¡¡may¡¡happen¡¡that£»¡¡in¡¡the¡¡progress¡¡of¡¡human¡¡knowledge£»¡¡more¡¡correct¡¡formula£º¡¡¡¡may¡¡be¡¡discovered£»¡¡and¡¡constants¡¡may¡¡be¡¡determined¡¡with¡¡far¡¡greater¡¡precision¡£¡¡¡¡Or¡¡it¡¡may¡¡be¡¡found¡¡that¡¡some¡¡physical¡¡circumstance¡¡influences¡¡the¡¡results£»¡¡£¨although¡¡unsuspected¡¡at¡¡the¡¡time£©¡¡the¡¡measure¡¡of¡¡which¡¡circumstance¡¡may¡¡perhaps¡¡be¡¡recovered¡¡from¡¡other¡¡contemporary¡¡registers¡¡of¡¡facts¡£¡¡¡¡£§Imagine£»¡¡by¡¡way¡¡of¡¡example£»¡¡the¡¡state¡¡of¡¡the¡¡barometer¡¡or¡¡thermometer¡££§¡¡¡¡Or¡¡if¡¡the¡¡selection¡¡of¡¡observations¡¡has¡¡been¡¡made¡¡with¡¡the¡¡view¡¡of¡¡its¡¡agreeing¡¡precisely¡¡with¡¡the¡¡latest¡¡determination£»¡¡there¡¡is¡¡some¡¡little¡¡danger¡¡that¡¡the¡¡average¡¡of¡¡the¡¡whole¡¡may¡¡differ¡¡from¡¡that¡¡o